2018 RCS: Retiree Confidence in Critical Aspects of Retirement Security Declines, While Workers’ Overall Confidence Creeps Up

By: Lisa Greenwald

WASHINGTON – This year’s Retirement Confidence Survey (RCS) finds only a third of retirees very
confident in their ability to live comfortably throughout retirement (32 percent). While this is comparable
to last year, retiree confidence in having enough money to cover basic expenses and medical expenses has
dropped: 80 percent say they are very/somewhat confident about covering basic expenses this year
compared to 85 percent in 2017; and 70 percent say they are very/somewhat confident about covering
medical expenses this year vs. 77 percent in 2017. In addition, retirees’ confidence that Medicare and
Social Security will continue to provide benefits equal to what retirees receive today has significantly
declined compared to last year, with fewer than half saying they are very or somewhat confident (46
percent very or somewhat confident in Medicare this year vs. 52 percent in 2017; 45 percent very or
somewhat confident in Social Security vs. 51 percent in 2017). Only 7 percent of retirees say they are
very confident that each of these will continue to provide the same level of benefits they do today.

This is the 28th annual RCS by the nonpartisan Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI) and research
firm Greenwald & Associates. It is the longest-running survey of its kind in the nation, exploring the
retirement outlook of both workers and retirees.

“Retirees continue to be more confident in their retirement security than workers,” noted Craig Copeland,
EBRI senior research associate and co-author of the report. “Just 17 percent of American workers say
they are very confident in their ability to live comfortably throughout retirement, compared with nearly a
third of retirees who say that are very confident. However, nearly two in three workers (64 percent) say
they feel very or somewhat confident in their ability to retire comfortably.” Copeland points out that the
percentage of workers who say they are at least somewhat confident is up from 60 percent in 2017.

“Health care expenses in retirement appear to be playing a notable role in retirees’ confidence. Retirees
are less confident in being able to afford medical expenses and the share very confident in affording longterm
care also declined,” said Lisa Greenwald, executive vice president of Greenwald & Associates, and
co-author of the report. “Half of retirees say they didn’t even try to calculate health expenses before
retirement, and more than four in ten retirees say their health care expenses are higher than they expected.
However, those that did the calculation are less likely to report health is costing them more than
expected,” she said.

A key disconnect reported in the survey is between workers’ expectations about relying on income from
work in retirement, compared to retirees’ actual experience: 68 percent of workers expect income from
working to be either a major or a minor source of income in retirement, whereas only 26 percent of
retirees say that this income is a major or minor source. Workers also have different expectations around
Social Security than retirees have experienced: only a third of workers (36 percent) expect Social Security
to be a major source of retirement income, compared to 67 percent of retirees who report that Social
Security is a major source of income in retirement.

Workers may be looking for different ways to fill the retirement income gap.

  • Eight in ten workers (81 percent) say they expect that a workplace retirement savings plan, such
    as a 401(k) or 403(b), will be a major or minor source of income.
  • By comparison, half of retirees (48 percent) say this type of plan is not a source of income for
  • Those with a defined contribution (DC) plan like a 401(k) are far more likely to say they are
    confident in their ability to live comfortably in retirement: 76 percent of workers with a DC plan
    are at least somewhat confident in their ability to live comfortably in retirement versus 46 percent
    of those without a DC plan.

“Satisfaction with DC plans is very important because that will encourage their use in building up assets for retirement. However, the data suggest many plan participants don’t know what to do with their DC plan assets at retirement. Three in ten (31 percent) say they don’t know whether they will roll the money
into an IRA, keep it in the plan, or cash it out,” Copeland said. “At the same time, participants are
interested in guaranteed lifetime income options either inside or outside of their plan, which could be due
to the lower expected reliance of workers on other guaranteed income sources like Social Security and
traditional pension plans.”

Four in five current DC participants express interest in putting some or all of their money in guaranteed
lifetime income products, regardless of whether the product is an in-plan investment option or a separate
product purchased outside of the plan at the time of retirement. Furthermore, 21 percent of current DC
participants say they will use their money in their plan to purchase a product that provides guaranteed
monthly income for life, a notably larger share than the 7 percent of retirees who report that they have
purchased such a product with DC assets.

The survey report, “The 2018 Retirement Confidence Survey,” is available here.

About the Survey: The survey was conducted from Jan. 3, 2018 to Jan. 16, 2018, through online
interviews with 2,042 individuals (1,002 workers and 1,040 retirees) ages 25 and older in the United
States. The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.16 percentage points for all workers and 3.1
percentage points for all retirees.

The Employee Benefit Research Institute is a private, nonpartisan, nonprofit research institute based in
Washington, DC, that focuses on health, savings, retirement, and economic security issues. EBRI
conducts objective research and education to inform plan design and public policy, does not lobby and
does not take policy positions. The work of EBRI is made possible by funding from its members and
sponsors, which include a broad range of public, private, for-profit and nonprofit organizations. For more
information, go to www.ebri.org.

Greenwald & Associates is a leading, full-service market research firm specializing in retirement,
employee benefits, and health care research. For more information, go to www.greenwaldresearch.com.

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